New Leger poll shows Conservatives gaining on Trudeau Liberals

Federal Conservatives saw some hopeful numbers in Leger's weekly survey for May 10. Erin O'Toole's Conservatives sit at 30%, Justin Trudeau's Liberals at 33%, and the NDP of Jagmeet Singh at 19%. The more minor party's support remains unwavering, with 6% for the Bloc Quebecois and 6% for the Greens.

This is welcome news to the Conservatives who have struggled to surpass the 30% threshold under O'Toole's leadership. Although 338Canada still lists a 98% chance that the Liberals will win the most seats, every small step in the right direction is a win for Federal Conservatives.

There is other good news in this poll for Conservatives, O'Toole's party polls at 29% with women compared to 31% for the Liberals, a significant improvement compared to other polls. However, the conservatives perform poorly with men at only 32%, with the Liberals at 35%. Conservatives are also slightly ahead with voters 35+ but only have 20% support with those 34 and below.

The Leger poll also lists a 50% satisfaction rate with the Liberal government on the COVID-19 response and a 52% satisfaction rate for premiers across the country. Atlantic premiers enjoy the highest satisfaction rate at 80% collectively and Jason Kenny the lowest at 29%.

Other notable insights in the survey include 46% of Canadians saying we are in the worst of the pandemic while only 16% of Americans answered the same. 82% of Canadians say they have or intend to get vaccinated, and 80% of Canadians support a vaccine passport. Overall, the majority of Canadians feel optimistic about the year ahead.