O’Toole Conservatives now leading Trudeau Liberals: Poll

The poll was released on Thursday with results having been tabulated on Wednesday. The results were collected over the previous three days by telephone.

The poll's central question was "If a federal election were held today, could you please rank your top two current local voting preferences?", to which people responded:

• Conservative party 34.4 percent
• Liberal party 33.6 percent
• New Democratic Party 18.9 percent
• Bloc Quebecios 5.3 percent (polled within Quebec only)
• Green Party 4.3 percent
• People's Party 3.1 percent
• Other 0.3 percent
• Undecided 10.6 percent

These most recent results represent the Conservative party gaining ground, as well as the far-left NDP, advancing 1.7 percent and 2.1 percent, respectively. The Liberal party, on the other hand, is down 2.3 percent compared to the last time this poll was conducted.

This puts the Conservatives ahead of the Liberals for the first time in polls this election cycle. Three days ago, the two parties were statistically neck and neck in another similar poll.

The poll was conducted as a random telephone survey calling peoples land and cell phones using live calling agents. The total number of Canadians called amounted to exactly 1200. The poll is a three-day rolling sample, with 400 successful calls completed each night for three consecutive nights.

The margin of error for this poll is plus or minus 2.8, 19 times out of 20.

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