Trump trails Biden by just 8% in NY amid surge in support from Jewish, black voters: Siena College Poll

46 percent of Jewish New Yorkers polled said that they would be voting for Trump. Trump has also increased his share of support from black New Yorkers from 6 percent in the 2020 election to 29 percent.

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Donald Trump trails Joe Biden by single digits in New York, according to a recent poll. Nearly half of Jewish New Yorkers are planning on voting for Trump over Biden in the upcoming election and black voters have surged to support the presumptive GOP nominee. The drop of support from the often-deep blue demographic comes amidst Biden often having a strained relationship with Israel over the Jewish nation's war with Hamas.   

According to a new Siena College Poll, overall, Biden leads Trump by single digits in the state, with 47 percent of voters saying they would cast their ballot for Biden and 39 percent for Trump. Trump has nearly half the Jewish support in the Empire State, 46 percent compared to Joe Biden's 52 percent. Trump has also seen a surge of support among black New Yorkers. 

The poll was comprised of 805 registered voters in New York and was conducted between June 12-17, 2024, with a margin of error of 4.1 percent. Biden's favorability rating among those polled has dropped down to a low of 42 percent and nearly two out of every three voters think that the American justice system has become influenced by politics, including 57 percent of Democrats.  

Black voters from New York in the 2020 election broke for Trump at only six percent, however, according to the new poll, that share of Trump's support among the black vote rests at 29 percent leading up to the 2024 election, per the New York Post. Additionally, in 2020, Trump only got 30 percent of the Jewish vote nationwide.  

Trump has made a large effort to make more inroads with minority voters over the course of the last few months on the campaign trail, visiting the Bronx in New York City as well as going to Detroit Michigan, where a pastor who has shown favorability towards Biden in the past praised Trump for coming to visit the city, adding, "President Obama never came to the hood, so to speak, right? President Joe Biden—he went to the big NAACP dinner, but he never came to the hood." 

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