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On Wednesday, FiveThirtyEight released a new report analyzing President Biden's popularity ahead of the 2024 election. The outlet, which is known to skew left, admitted that Biden had an "enthusiasm problem," and pointed out that his support was "slipping" among minorities.
While the president has lost the favorability of most groups, the greatest decline in support has been among Hispanics.
According to FiveThirtyEight, Biden went from more than 80 percent black support in April 2021 to just over 70 percent in April 2023, a drop of around 10 percent. Similarly, his support among white voters decreased from just under 50 percent to around 38 percent in that same time frame.
Among Hispanics, however, the difference was more stark. In April 2021 around 65 percent supported the president, but two years later, that number had plummeted to just over 40 percent, a 25-point decrease.
Recent polling has shown that many voters who identify as members of the aforementioned minority groups are less likely to support Biden in the next election compared to Democrats at large. A YouGov/Economist poll found that just under half of black voters and 37 percent of Hispanics said they wanted him to run for a second term, whereas for Democrats in general the number was 54 percent.
Conversely, Republicans have managed to hold on to their increased support from black and Hispanic voters, seeing little change between Trump's final months in office and today.
This led FiveThirtyEight to warn that if Biden becomes the nominee, some minorities may either vote for a Republican or abstain from casting their ballot altogether.
With no remedy to his "enthusiasm problem" in sight, there have been questions raised regarding what the president can do to woo voters back to the polls.
"Whatever happens," FiveThirtyEight wrote, "it's clear that the Biden campaign will need to actively engage with Black and Hispanic voters if the president wants to maintain the Democratic Party’s diverse coalition in 2024."
While the president has lost the favorability of most groups, the greatest decline in support has been among Hispanics.
According to FiveThirtyEight, Biden went from more than 80 percent black support in April 2021 to just over 70 percent in April 2023, a drop of around 10 percent. Similarly, his support among white voters decreased from just under 50 percent to around 38 percent in that same time frame.
Among Hispanics, however, the difference was more stark. In April 2021 around 65 percent supported the president, but two years later, that number had plummeted to just over 40 percent, a 25-point decrease.
Recent polling has shown that many voters who identify as members of the aforementioned minority groups are less likely to support Biden in the next election compared to Democrats at large. A YouGov/Economist poll found that just under half of black voters and 37 percent of Hispanics said they wanted him to run for a second term, whereas for Democrats in general the number was 54 percent.
Conversely, Republicans have managed to hold on to their increased support from black and Hispanic voters, seeing little change between Trump's final months in office and today.
This led FiveThirtyEight to warn that if Biden becomes the nominee, some minorities may either vote for a Republican or abstain from casting their ballot altogether.
With no remedy to his "enthusiasm problem" in sight, there have been questions raised regarding what the president can do to woo voters back to the polls.
"Whatever happens," FiveThirtyEight wrote, "it's clear that the Biden campaign will need to actively engage with Black and Hispanic voters if the president wants to maintain the Democratic Party’s diverse coalition in 2024."
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