A new poll, released less than a year out from the 2024 election, has revealed that Donald Trump is in the lead among voters in the swing state of Pennsylvania, beating out both Democrat candidate and incumbent Joe Biden and independent candidate Robert F Kennedy Jr.
The Big Data Poll survey found that 39.9 percent of Pennsylvania voters would cast their ballot for Trump, compared to 36 percent who said they would vote for Biden, and 7.7 percent who said they would vote for Kennedy.
An additional 5.7 percent said they would vote for another third-party candidate, 2.3 percent said they would not be voting at all, and 8.4 percent were undecided.
Notably, voters ages 65 and up were more likely to vote for Biden over Trump, at 43.8 and 37.6 percent, respectively, while voters younger than 65 said they would vote for Trump.
While 25 percent more black voters would cast their ballot for Biden than Trump, at 45.7 to 20.8 percent, respectively, more Hispanic voters said they would cast their ballot for Trump than Biden, at 37.9 to 32.9 percent.
Between just Biden and Trump, 40.5 percent of voters said they would vote for Trump, while 37 percent said they would vote for Biden. An additional 11.4 percent said they would vote for a third-party candidate, while 8.2 percent were undecided.
“The state of Pennsylvania among primary voters is not at all competitive for either of the two major parties,” said Big Data Pill Director Rich Baris. “But the former president’s supporters are dug in, and he’s leading the current president in a rematch in all the right places and among all the right demographics.”
“President Biden is far ahead in his primary and I wouldn’t expect an upset in the Keystone State anytime soon,” Mr. Baris added. “But the lack of firmness in his support is concerning for Democrats less than a year out from the general election.”
Among those who voted in the 2020 election, Trump leads Biden 41.1 percent to 39.8 percent. Among those who did not vote though, Trump leads by a staggering 17.5 points, at 36.5 to 19 percent.
The Keystone State Battleground Poll surveyed 1,382 registered Pennsylvania voters between November 16 and 19, and has a margin of error of 2.6 percent.
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