Recent polling Wednesday by Polling Canada shows the Conservatives gained a slight lead over the incumbent Liberals with the federal election right around the corner.
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau dropped the writ on August 15 and called the election for September 20, meeting the minimum 36-day requirement Elections Canada set aside for campaigning.
Two years after the previous federal election, Canadians are once again heading to the polls. This is conventional for most minority governments, as no one party has a clear mandate to govern.
Despite Trudeau not facing any significant challenges in passing legislation nor a nonconfidence vote during Budget 2021 and the Throne Speech, he called an election in an attempt to secure a majority government.
Contending parties have five weeks to keep the reigning Liberal Party from forming a majority government, which sits at 157 seats — 13 seats from majority territory. Should any of these parties prove successful, Canada could have a new prime minister.
The Conservatives, led by incumbent MP Erin O'Toole, first overtook the Liberals on August 26. The results of the August 23 poll showed the parties neck and neck to form another minority government.
As of August 29, the Conservatives were an impressive 10 points ahead of their Liberal rivals. Subsequently, their lead waned, and the Liberals regained the lead.
But in recent days, the trend has reversed again.
The perennially-in-third-place New Democrats Party gained ground and is now at the 19 percent mark in this latest poll.
The PPC continues to surge in the polls at nine percent, representing a quantum leap for them – they only won two percent of seats in Parliament in the year 2019.
The Greens and the Bloc Quebecois came in this time at a measly three and six percent, respectively.
The Post Millennial recently drafted a leader's profile for the federal election that can be viewed here.