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'WRONG!': Trump slams UN after it admits extreme climate change predictions are 'implausible'

"We were probably never headed to a tripling of global emissions by 2100 (to say nothing of a five-fold increase in coal use), even in the absence of climate policy."

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"We were probably never headed to a tripling of global emissions by 2100 (to say nothing of a five-fold increase in coal use), even in the absence of climate policy."

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Libby Emmons Brooklyn NY

As he ran for president in 2020, Joe Biden told us that climate change was a crisis. In 2019, New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez said "the world is going to end in 12 years if we don't address climate change." European child activist Greta Thunberg launched her career on shaming the entire global leadership structure over climate change and held children's crusade rallies in western nations urging young people to dedicate their lives to ending fossil fuel dependency. "How dare you?" She famously scolded.

Climate change has been touted as an existential threat by politicians, pundits, media, activists, and Hollywood elites who speak their missives down to us from their private planes. But now it turns out it's basically a non-issue. The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has found that the dire projection, known as RCP 8.5, of global climate apocalypse "have become implausible." RCP 8.5 has been the "worst case scenario" used by climate activists to show the public how bad things would get should human beings, namely western nations, not reverse course.

“GOOD RIDDANCE!" said President Trump. "After 15 years of Dumocrats promising that 'Climate Change' is going to destroy the Planet, the United Nations TOP Climate Committee just admitted that its own projections (RCP8.5) were WRONG! WRONG! WRONG!" Trump has pulled the US out of the Paris Climate Accords and has backed the idea that the threats posed by alleged manmade climate change have been overblown.

Climate scientists Zeke Hausfather, Glen Peters, and Piers Forster said in a post on The Climate Brink that "RCP8.5 (and its successor SSP5-8.5) were designed to be a worst case emissions scenario, not the most likely outcome even in a world that did nothing to address climate change. We were probably never headed to a tripling of global emissions by 2100 (to say nothing of a five-fold increase in coal use), even in the absence of climate policy." (emphasis TPM)

"Rapid declines in clean energy costs have bent the curve of future emissions downward," the scientists went on, "with new scenarios designed to reflect current policies notably lower than most baseline scenarios in the literature. The 21st century is now unlikely to see a continued expansion of fossil fuel use globally, with current policy scenarios reflecting relatively flat global emissions going forward."

That dire projection was the model that said high emissions would destroy the world. "Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) are not new, fully integrated scenarios (i.e., they are not a complete package of socioeconomic, emissions and climate projections). They are consistent sets of projections of only the components of radiative forcing that are meant to serve as input for climate modeling, pattern scaling and atmospheric chemistry modeling," according to the RCP Database.

The RCP 8.5 predicted surface temperatures would rise based on increasing gas emissions. US agency NOAA states that the model shows that warming increases with the increases in carbon dioxide and that the oceans warms more slowly. The projections in the model are based on a "high emissions scenario" and shows "extreme change" of a global temperature rise over about 6 degrees Celsius by 2100. 

For nearly a decade, scientists have been walking back the worst-case scenario models as the public has begun to seriously question the likelihood of these doomer predictions. These worst-case scenario models are what have been publicized by activists, fundraisers, and leftist politicians to emphasize their concerns about climate change. These dire predictions about climate change have become a serious source of anxiety for many young Americans who have determined not to have children because of it. Even with the change in perception of the validity of the extreme climate change model, many people have shaped their entire lives around believing the human race is facing a climate change induced extinction event and may be unwilling to break the foundations of those beliefs.

Hollywood celebrities continue to harp on climate change, including Star Wars star Harrison Ford who told graduates of Arizona State University during a commencement speech to consider making environmental concerns based on climate change a primary focus of their lives. He said this was a way to find meaning in a world his generation had left a "mess." Scientists, and the Trump administration, have criticized the RCP 8.5 model being cited as a "business as usual" scenario. Apparently, it was "never intended to be" that.

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