BREAKING: Trump now favored to win 2024 election in new Nate Silver forecast

Harris has appeared to have a "honeymoon" in the odds of winning the election since Biden dropped out of the race, however, according to Silver's analysis, Trump is now more likely to take the presidency. Silver said that Trump is forecasted to win the swing states of Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina.

This comes as Harris is set to have her first interview with CNN on Thursday. She will be joined by Tim Walz in an interview with Dana Bash, and the interview is set to be pre-taped.

In Silvers newsletter, he stated that there is a “longer-term concern for Harris” about Pennsylvania. He added that “it’s been a while since we’ve seen a poll showing her ahead” in the key state.

He said that the model he is using shows that if Harris is “only tied in Pennsylvania now, during what should be one of her stronger polling periods” after the DNC “implies being a slight underdog in November.”

He added that Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspending his campaign could be having a larger impact on rust belt states, such as Pennsylvania and others. The Real Clear Polling average sits at Harris +1.8 nationally. With no toss-up states, as of Aug. 29, RCP has Trump taking the electoral college vote at 287 and Harris at 251.