Sliwa only trails Mamdani by 8 points in head-to-head matchup—Cuomo is down 10 points: Victory Insights poll

A new poll has found that in head-to-head matchups between the three candidates in New York City’s mayoral race, Republican Curtis Sliwa has a closer chance of defeating socialist Zohran Mamdani than former Governor Andrew Cuomo does. 

The Victory Insights poll found that overall, 46.7 percent of likely voters said they supported Mamdani, 28.6 percent of voters said they supported Cuomo, and 16.2 percent said they supported Sliwa. Less than 10 percent of voters were undecided.

When placed into head-to-head matchups, Cuomo was behind Mamdani by ten points (39 percent to 49 percent), while Sliwa was eight points behind Mamdani (41 percent to 49 percent). Victory Insights noted that of those remaining undecided voters in the mathcup between Sliwa and Mamdani, 80 percent of them are Democrats. 

The poll also found that 53.9 percent of voters do not believe Mamdani is a threat to the future of New York City. Among Sliwa voters, 83 percent think Mamdani’s a threat, and among Cuomo voters, 82 percent think Mamdani’s a threat. Less than one-third of Democrats considered Mamdani a threat.

If Mamdani wins November’s election, 26.5 percent said they would consider moving out of the city, while 68.4 percent said they would remain. Nearly half of those who said they’d vote for Cuomo said they would consider leaving the city, while 69 percent of Sliwa voters said the same. 

The poll was conducted between October 22 and 23 of 500 very likely voters. 

This comes as House Minority Leader Hakeen Jeffries endorsed Mamdani on Friday after months of questions surrounding whether he would. He wrote that Mamdani "has relentlessly focused on addressing the affordability crisis and explicitly committed to being a Mayor for all New Yorkers, including those who do not support his candidacy." He wrote that Mamdani "has promised to focus on keeping every New Yorker safe, including the Jewish community that has confronted a startling rise in antisemitic incidents as well as Black and Latino neighborhoods that have battled deadly gun violence for years."