A new poll released on Wednesday has revealed that Trump is leading Biden in the seven swing states of the 2024 election.
Overall, the Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll of 4956 registered voters in the swing states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, found that in a head-to-head matchup, Trump leads Biden 48 to 42 percent. The poll, conducted between January 16 and 22, found that when third-party candidates were mixed in, 44 percent of registered swing state voters supported Trump, 35 percent supported Biden, and 9 percent supported Kennedy, the highest polling third-party candidate.
In Arizona, the poll of 800 registered voters in the state found that 47 percent support Trump while 44 percent support Biden. With third-party candidates, Trump received 43 percent support, Biden received 35 percent, and Kennedy received 10 percent. The Arizona poll has a 3 percent margin of error.
The poll of nearly 800 registered Georgia voters found that 49 percent support Trump in a head-to-head matchup with Biden, who received 41 percent support. With third-party candidates, Trump received 44 percent support, Biden received 37 percent, and Kennedy received 8 percent. The Georgia poll had a margin of error of 3 percent.
In Michigan, 47 percent of voters supported Trump compared to 42 percent who supported Biden in the matchup. Adding in third-party candidates, Trump received 43 percent support, Biden received 31 percent, and Kennedy received 8. The Michigan poll has a margin of error of 4 percent.
The poll of 457 Nevada voters found that 48 percent would cast their ballot for Trump while 40 would vote for Biden. With third-party candidates, 43 percent would vote for Trump, 31 percent for Biden, and 12 percent for Kennedy. The Nevada poll has a margin of error of 5 percent.
North Carolina voters heavily favored Trump, with 49 percent of the 706 voters surveyed saying they would support Trump over Biden, who received 39 percent of the support. Trump pulled ahead even further with third-party candidates added in, received 45 percent support to Biden’s 32 percent and Kennedy’s 9 percent. The North Carolina polling has a margin of error of 4 percent.
In Pennsylvania, one of the most highly watched states in the 2020 election, Trump leads Biden 48-45. With all candidates added in, Trump leads with 43 percent of the support, Biden received 40, and Kennedy received 7. The Pennsylvania poll has a margin of error of 3 percent.
Among Wisconsin voters, 49 percent supported Trump while 44 percent supported Biden in the head-to-head matchup. With third-party candidates added in, 43 percent of the 697 voters polled said they would cast their ballot for Trump, 35 percent said Biden, and 10 percent said Kennedy.
The same poll also found that 53 percent of these swing state voters would not be willing to cast their ballot for Trump if he were to be found guilty in one of the many cases being brought against him at the state and federal level. 55 percent said they would not vote for him if he were sent to prison for these cases.
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