Michigan poll finds Trump, Biden TIED 44-44 in general election match-up: Emerson College

Just "over half of independent voters, 51%, disapprove of the job Biden is doing in office."


A new poll conducted by Emerson College has found that Michiganders' support is equally split between both the Republican and Democratic frontrunners. In a hypothetical 2024 general election matchup, Donald Trump and Joe Biden each received 44 percent of the vote.

The results of the statewide poll are in line with national surveys, which continue to show that the former president and his successor are neck and neck in a potential rematch for 2024.

According to the poll, which was conducted between August 1 and 2, of those who did not select either of the top two candidates, 8 percent said they planned to vote for "someone else," and 5 percent were "undecided."

Among Republican voters in Michigan, Trump holds a commanding lead, at 61 percent. Florida governor Ron DeSantis sits in second place with 13 percent, trailed by former vice president Mike Pence and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy at 7 and 4 percent, respectively.

The field of Democratic candidates is similarly split; 65 percent said they would vote for Biden, 11 percent for Robert F Kennedy Jr, and 5 percent for Marianne Williamson.

The poll found that in Michigan, Biden has a job approval rating of just 43 percent, with 50 percent saying they disapprove. 

Executive Director of Emerson College Polling, Spencer Kimball, pointed out that "just over half of independent voters, 51%, disapprove of the job Biden is doing in office," noting that the unaffiliated are a "pivotal group in Michigan that Biden won over in 2020 yet is struggling with both nationally and statewide."

Michiganders rated the economy as their number one concern, an issue that, according to a recent Harvard-Harris poll, most people think Trump would do better at solving than Biden.

Second was "threats to democracy," though the exact issue differed depending on which party respondents voted for. Democrats said voter suppression was the biggest threat, while Republicans argued it was voter fraud.

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