Trump leads Biden 38-32 in Maine: Pan Atlantic Research poll

Another 21 percent of Maine likely general election voters said they would vote for another candidate, while 9 percent said they were undecided.

In Congressional District 1, which covers the southern coastal counties in Maine, likely voters preferred Biden, with the incumbent receiving 39 percent support to Trump’s 31 percent. An additional 23 percent said they would vote for another candidate, and 8 percent were undecided.

In Congressional District 2, which covers the rest of the state, likely voters strongly preferred Trump, with 45 percent saying they would vote for Trump, while 25 percent said they would vote for Biden. 19 percent said they would vote for another candidate, and 11 percent were undecided.

This reflects the results seen in the 2020 and 2016 elections with Congressional District 1 generally voting for the Democrat candidate and Congressional District 2. In 2012, 15 out of 16 counties voted for then-incumbent Barack Obama.

Maine is one of two states that splits their electoral college votes, with 2 votes being given to the overall winning candidate in the state, and one vote being given to the winning candidate in each district. For example, Biden received 3 electoral college votes from the state in 2020, winning the overall election in the state as well as Congressional District 1.

The poll was conducted between February 6 and 14 of 791 Maine citizens who said they were likely to vote in the 2024 election and has a margin of error of 3.5 percent.

This comes as Secretary of State Shenna Bellows has tried to remove Trump from the state’s primary ballot, claiming that he was ineligible to appear under the 14th Amendment. The case was appealed up through courts, and Maine’s Supreme Judicial Court in January dismissed an appeal from Bellows on a lower court’s decision to keep Trump on the ballot pending the Supreme Court of the United States' ruling on a similar case in Colorado.