Karl Rove admits Trump will win in 2024

Last year, he predicted that Trump's polling numbers would drop among Republicans. To his, and many others', disbelief, they rose.

In an opinion piece for the Wall Street Journal on Wednesday, the longtime critic of the former president predicted that Trump will be convicted before November, but win nonetheless, though he maintained that Joe Biden will once again dominate the popular vote.

Rove theorized that Trump would win the Iowa caucus "by an unconvincing margin," then eventually grind down Nikki Haley, who he said will take the New Hampshire primary, to become the nominee.

"Biden vs. Trump is a chaotic, nasty mess," Rove continued, adding that he believed Biden will count on Trump being convicted and Trump will rely on anger over a "politicized justice system" and the current commander-in-chief's age and mental acuity.

"Mr. Trump is convicted before November yet wins the election while Mr. Biden receives a plurality of the popular vote," he declared. "The race is settled by fewer than 25,000 votes in each of four or fewer states. Third-party candidates get more votes in those states than Mr. Trump's margin over Mr. Biden."

On a congressional level, Rove predicted that the House will flip Democratic and the Senate will be led by Republicans despite certain candidates losing "two or three winnable races."

In a previous op-ed for the WSJ, Rove said a Biden-Trump rematch would amount to "the worst dumpster fire of a campaign in history," adding that "both party's front-runners have enormous weaknesses."

He has repeatedly criticized Trump, taking aim at his affinity for infighting in particular.

"The former president is better [off] spending his time talking about what it is that he wants to do rather than trying to run down his opponents," Rove argued in an interview with Fox News, calling his campaign tactics "petty, small, and unimportant."