Trump holds 2% lead over Biden in swing state of Wisconsin: Marquette University Law School poll

The Marquette University Law School poll, released on Wednesday, found that 51 percent of registered voters said they would vote for Trump while 49 percent said they would vote for Biden.

This is up both from when the poll from the law school was conducted in January, where the two candidates were tied at 49 percent, and when the poll was conducted in October, where 50 percent of registered voters said they would vote for Biden, with 48 percent saying they would vote for Trump.

Similar results were found among likely voters, with 49 percent supporting Biden and 51 percent supporting Trump in the most recent poll. 49 percent of likely voters supported Biden in the January poll with 50 percent supporting Trump, and 50 percent supported Biden in the October poll while 48 percent supported Trump.

Trump maintained his lead over Biden with third-party candidates included, receiving 41 percent support to Biden’s 40 percent, Robert F. Kennedy Junior’s 13 percent, Jill Stein’s 3 percent, and Cornell West’s 2 percent among registered voters.

Among likely voters, 42 percent said they would vote for Trump, 41 percent said they would vote for Biden, 12 percent said they would vote for Kennedy, 3 percent said they would vote for Stein, and 1 percent said they would vote for West.

The poll was conducted between April 3 and 10 of 814 registered voters, with a margin of error of 4.8 percent, and 736 likely voters, with a margin of error of 5 percent.

Biden flipped the state in 2020, bringing in 49.6 percent of the vote to Trump’s 48.9 percent, a difference of around 20,000 votes. In the 2016 election, Trump won with 47.8 percent of the vote to Hillary Clinton’s 47 percent, a difference of around 23,000 votes.