“President Trump has a chance to get the largest share of the Jewish vote ever. Antisemitism is a real issue.”
In the past, Democrats running for president have received approximately 70 percent or more of the Jewish vote. Republican former Presidents Ronald Reagan and Dwight Eisenhower managed to win roughly 40 percent of the vote in their races.
According to McLaughlin, rising antisemitism and progressive Democrats’ hostility toward Israel are fueling the increase in Jewish support for the GOP in battleground states including Pennsylvania, Michigan, Nevada, Arizona and Georgia. He also speculated that the increase could help candidates in down-ballot races and even a small shift could affect the Electoral College, since President Joe Biden won those states by only 3 percent or less in 2020.
In addition to the pattern, “Squad” members Rep. Jamaal Bowman (D-NY) and Rep. Cori Bush (D-MO) have lost their primary elections in their respective states.
A recent poll sponsored by the Teach Coalition revealed that Jewish voters are more motivated to vote in New York and Pennsylvania because of rising antisemitism and Israel’s war against Hamas. In the survey, Trump had support from 43 percent of Jewish voters in Pennsylvania.
According to a Siena Research Institute poll released last week, Trump had 50 percent of likely Jewish voters in New York, a slight lead over Vice President Kamala Harris who pulled in 49 percent of respondents. Last week, Trump said during a press conference that Jewish people who don’t vote for him should “get their head examined” due to the anti-Israel wing of the Democrat Party.
Anti-Israel activists in Michigan last week told The New York Times that Harris had promised them an arms embargo against Israel. Harris has also called for an "immediate cease-fire.” Hamas has yet to be eliminated and there are still over 100 hostages including eight Americans have not been returned.
During an interview with ABC News in March, Harris also warned of "consequences" for Israel if the IDF invaded the Gazan city of Rafah, the last stronghold for Hamas terrorists in the territory. Additionally, many have speculated that Tim Walz was chosen as her VP pick over Josh Shapiro because of the Pennsylvania governor’s Jewish heritage.
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