In a hypothetical Republican primary, former president Donald Trump came out on top by a large margin, his closest competitor garnering around a quarter of the support he did.
According to the poll, 62 percent of likely voters said they would support Trump in a hypothetical Republican primary, while Florida governor Ron DeSantis was favored by just 16 percent. The other candidates, including Mike Pence, Nikki Haley, and Vivek Ramaswamy, all failed to crack the 10 percent mark.
While Trump's support has grown 7 percent after remaining steady since June 2022, DeSantis is down 9 percent since February.
On the Democratic side, Biden is by far and away the top choice, at 70 percent, with Robert Kennedy Jr and Marianne Williamson sitting at 21 and 8 percent, respectively.
Current president Joe Biden was shown to come out on top in races against both candidates, 43 percent to 41 percent against Trump and 42 percent to 37 percent against DeSantis. As Emerson points out, however, "both races are within the poll’s margin of error."
Around 40 percent of respondents said they believed Biden would win a second term regardless of who the Republican challenger was, while 35 percent said the same of Trump. A quarter suggested "someone else" would take the nation's top job.
According to the poll, Biden's approval rating has been on a bit of a roller coaster over the past year, but has hovered around the 40 percent mark. His disapproval rating has remained close to 50 percent.
Spencer Kimball, Executive Director of Emerson College Polling, suggested that "driving Biden’s lower approval this month is independent voters, 37 percent of whom approved of the president in February, which has dropped to 30 percent this month."
The poll was conducted between April 24 and 25 of 1,100 registered voters and has a margin of error of 2.9 percentage points.
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